Retrans Tops Analyst's 2011 Ten Issues to Watch List - Broadcasting & Cable

Retrans Tops Analyst's 2011 Ten Issues to Watch List

Starz/Netflix deal; multichannel sub growth also predicted
Author:
Publish date:

BTIG media analyst Richard
Greenfield mapped out his top Ten Media Issues/Events to Watch in 2011, with retransmission consent heading what proves to be a diverse
list.

Greenfield, a long-time media
watcher, has never been shy of controversy, and this year's list appears
to be in keeping with that tradition. Here's his list, with a brief
synopsis:

    Broadcast TV Affiliate
    Model Begins to Crack as Retrans Reform Fails and Networks Take Center
    Stage vs. Affiliates (and Distributors).

    Greenfield writes that local broadcast TV adds very little value beyond
    network fare (especially for those viewers not yet eligible for Social
    Security benefits) and expects the broadcast networks to continue to
    reap gains in retrans revenue while taking a larger share of their affiliates'
    retrans hauls. The analyst also does not expect Congress - which has
    been threatening retrans reform - to get involved in 2011.
    Starz Renews Netflix
    Agreement.
    Greenfield asserts that although movie and TV streaming
    is evenly split among Netflix viewers, Starz is the single largest piece
    of its movie segment and is critical for Netflix to maintain. Greenfield
    expects a Starz/Netflix renewal late in the first quarter in the $300
    million neighborhood. "If no deal happens, look for Netflix to try
    and buy Liberty Starz," Greenfield wrote.
    Multichannel Subscribers
    Grow in 2011 - Debunking Cord Cutting.

    While multichannel video subs were expected to be flat-to-up slightly
    in 2010, Greenfield sees growth in 2011, muffling the cord-cutting "noise"
    that has dominated for the past six months. "Look for both cable network
    stock and multichannel video provider stock multiples to benefit from
    reduced investor fears," he wrote.

    Click here for the full story at Multichannel.com

Related