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Bay Area Battlefield

Tri-market copes with diversity demands

By BroadCasting & Cable Staff -- Broadcasting & Cable, 11/14/2004 7:00:00 PM

The Bay Area, famed for cable cars and high tech, is an anomaly. It covers three cities—San Francisco, Oakland and San Jose—and their expansive suburbs, a daunting assignment. Only 13% of the population lives in San Francisco; Oakland and San Jose are each large enough to rank as a top-25 market. But sprawl in the nation's sixth-largest TV market is secondary to the area's new challenge: Nielsen rolled out local people meters (LPMs) Sept. 30. Stations get daily demo ratings, which can swing wildly.

“We're in for a year of transition,” says KNTV General Manager Linda Sullivan.

While coping with LPMs, stations program to an eclectic audience: a highly educated population, thanks to nearby tech paradise Silicon Valley and various universities, including UC Berkley and Stanford. Plus, the ethnic mix is unique: 11% of residents are of Asian decent, 18% of Hispanic origin.

“Addressing the needs of all these viewers is difficult,” admits Mike Antonitis, president and GM of independent KRON.

All this diversity “makes late news a battlefield,” says Tim McVay, GM for Cox Broadcasting's Fox affiliate, KTVU. KRON broadcasts at 9 p.m.; KTVU follows at 10 p.m. The Big Three stations—CBS-owned KPIX, ABC O&O KGO and NBC O&O KNTV—offer 11 p.m. shows. While no one station dominates, there is extraordinary viewer demand for weather and traffic reports. One or two ratings points can separate the top-rated stations across dayparts. In prime time, KPIX is the market leader, buoyed by strong network programming; KGO leads in fringe.

NBC's San Jose-based KNTV is the newest addition in the marketplace. (NBC also owns a Telemundo station there.) KNTV became an NBC station in 2001 after Young Broadcasting's KRON converted to an independent. Distance means KNTV is missing 400,000 homes, but a new transmitter should close the gap by next spring.

Although local broadcasters benefited from the late-1990s Internet boom, they've endured a revenue pinch since the bubble burst. “We're not as vibrant as five years ago, but each successive year has been a bit better,” says Ron Longinotti, president and GM for Viacom's San Francisco duopoly, KPIX and UPN station KBHK. Year-to-date, the local ad market is posting low-single-digit growth, executives say. TV revenues are up to $710 million this year, from $670 million in 2003, per BIA.

Comcast is the dominant cable operator, with a robust 66% cable penetration. And 29% of cable subscribers have upgraded to digital cable, according to Scarborough Research.

“What sets us apart,” says Longinotti, “is our incredible diversity.”

The Demos
The Bay Area boasts a highly educated, ethnically diverse population. Residents are 39% more likely to have a college degree than adults in the top-75 DMAs. The ethnically diverse population is 18% Hispanic and 11% Asian, both well above averages in the top-75 markets.
Who Share of population Index*
Source: Scarborough Release 1 2004 75 Markets Report (February '03-March '04)
*Index is a measurement of consumer likelihood. An index of 100 indicates that the market is on par with the average of the 75 local markets.
NM = Not large enough to be measured
**Activities engaged in past 12 months
18-34 31% 101
18-49 63% 102
25-54 61% 105
35+ 69% 100
Married 52% 93
Never married 30% 119
College grad 34% 139
White 78% 94
Black 6% 54
Hispanic 18% 132
Asian 11% 427
$100K+ HH 28% 182
$50K+ HH 64% 131
Below $50K HH 36% 70
BY THE NUMBERS**
Home value $250,000+ 52% 253
Digital cable 29% 118
Belong to a health club 25% 146
Baseball fans 39% 118
Go hiking/backpacking 24% 188
10+ hours on the Internet 25% 138
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